Episode 76 Show Notes

Election Results

 CBS News  By Graham Kates    November

 8, 2024 / 5:03 PM EST / CBS News

Map shows Trump’s 2024 election victory came as voters shifted red across the country

While the 2024 presidential election was among the closest in recent memory — with President-elect Donald Trump ahead by about 3 percentage points over Vice President Kamala Harris — Trump’s vote share grew in a diverse array of regions across the country and across different demographic groups.

It’s the first time in Trump’s three campaigns for the White House that he’s topped his opponent in the popular vote, and only the second time since 1988 that any Republican has done so. In 2016, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton won almost 66 million votes (48%), compared to Trump’s nearly 63 million (46%), but Trump won the Electoral College. In 2020, he lost both the Electoral College and the popular vote to President Biden, who received about 81 million votes (51%) nationwide, compared to Trump’s 74 million (47%).

Trump’s victory in 2024 was driven by improvements in support in a vast majority of counties nationwide — more than 9 in 10 — according to data from counties where at least 95% of votes have been counted as of Friday. Trump’s improvements crossed regions, and included urban, suburban and rural gains.

Trump even fared better in most places where a majority of voters preferred Harris, like New Jersey, or across the Hudson River, in his hometown of New York City.

The Garden State, a longtime Democratic stronghold, swung markedly in Trump’s favor. For instance, the latest data show Trump with a slim 3% lead in suburban Passaic County, where he got just 41% of the vote in 2020. 

In New York City, where Trump grew up and spent most of his life before entering politics, he didn’t just surpass his two previous results; his roughly 30% vote share topped every Republican candidate since Ronald Reagan, 40 years ago.

Nearly 2,000 miles away, Maverick County, Texas, a majority Latino border county that Biden carried easily in 2020, swung even more, about 28 points. Trump in 2024 outperformed Biden’s 2020 showing, and Harris fared worse than Trump did in 2020. 

How U.S. presidential votes shifted from 2020 to 2024

Darker shades of red on the map indicate counties where the vote margin shifted significantly toward the Republican candidate, while darker blues represent counties with a strong shift toward the Democrat candidate. Click or hover over a county to see more information.


CBS News exit polls from the last two elections showed Trump gaining among both men and women this year. In 2020, Trump won men by a hair, 49% to 48%, but in 2024, his campaign’s efforts to woo men appear to have paid off: his support from men grew to 55%. 

In 2020, Trump managed to win 43% of women voters. In 2024, despite Democrats’ focus on women voters and abortion access, which boosted them in the midterm election races, Trump still increased his numbers with women, notching up that figure two ticks, to 45%.

Trump made gains among core groups within the traditional Republican coalition, such as evangelical voters. But he also increased his support among groups Democrats have relied on, including young voters and Latino voters, such as those in Maverick County and another former Democratic stronghold, Florida’s Miami-Dade, which Mr. Biden won in 2020, with 53%. This year, Trump carried the county with about 55% of the vote, becoming the first Republican to win there since 1988.

The chart below shows the change in support for Trump in demographic groups between 2020 and 2024.

2024 exit poll: Vote for president by select demographics

Click to toggle between: 2024   2020 

Harris vs Trump

Men

42%

55%

Women

53%

45%

White men

37%

60%

White women

45%

53%

Black men

77%

21%

Black women

91%

7%

Latino men

43%

55%

Latino women

60%

38%

Men 18-29

47%

49%

Women 18-29

61%

37%

College degree

55%

42%

No college degree

42%

56%

Income: Under $50K

47%

50%

Income: $50K-$99K

46%

51%

Income: $100K or more

51%

46%

Sample: 22,914

Gray bars represent people who said they voted for someone other than Harris or Trump.

Note: percentages may have updated since this post.